Undergraduate
Faculty of Economic and Administrative Sciences
International Trade (English)
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PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS I

Course CodeSemester Course Name LE/RC/LA Course Type Language of Instruction ECTS
ITR3003 3 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS I 2/2/0 CC ENGLISH 5
Course Goals

Specifically, this course aims to develop

·            the analytical skills to deal with the data and statistics in social sciences.

·         the ability to use the tools of statistics to explain, analyze and resolve economic issues, and evaluate policy decisions;

·         the ability to analyze the validity of model, forecasting in business and economic analysis.

Prerequisite(s) NA
Corequisite(s) NA
Special Requisite(s) NA
Instructor(s) Assoc. Prof. Nebile Korucu Gümüşoğlu
Course Assistant(s) Teach. Assist. Çağıl Kaya
Schedule Tuesday, 11:00-12:50, BK Z-02 Wednesday, 11:00-12:50, BK B-402
Office Hour(s) Instructor name, day, hours, XXX Campus, office number.
Teaching Methods and Techniques Lectures, Online materials, Excel applications and participation,
Principle Sources

·         -Statistics for Business and Economics, Paul Newbold, W. L. Carlson, B.M. Thorne, Pearson.



-Statistics for Business and Economics,Anderson, Sweeney and Williams, 4th edition, Cengage Learning.

Other Sources -
Course Schedules
Week Contents Learning Methods
1. Week Data and using Graphs and Numerical Measures to Describe Data Sources of data , Types of data Lectures, presentations and applications
2. Week Organizing numerical data, Tables and charts for numerical and categorical data, Using Microsoft Excel for Tables and Charts Lectures, presentations and applications
3. Week The Mean , Median , Mod and other measures of central tendency Lectures, presentations and applications
4. Week The Standart Deviation and other measures of dispersion, Using Microsoft Excel For Descriptive Statistics Lectures, presentations and applications
5. Week Probability and its Postulates,exercises Lectures, presentations and applications
6. Week Bayes’ Theorem , Probability distributions Lectures, presentations and applications
7. Week Discrete Random Variables, Binomal Distribution and Poisson Distribution Lectures, presentations and applications
8. Week Midterm -
9. Week Midterm -
10. Week Continuous Random Variables and Normal Distribution Lectures, presentations and applications
11. Week Correlation analysis, Excel applications Lectures, presentations and applications
12. Week Simple regression model, Exercises Lectures, presentations and applications
13. Week Confidence Interval, Exercises Lectures, presentations and applications
14. Week Multiple variable regression analysis and its applications Lectures, presentations and applications
15. Week Final Week
16. Week Final Week
17. Week
Assessments
Evaluation tools Quantity Weight(%)
Midterm(s) 1 35
Homework / Term Projects / Presentations 1 15
Final Exam 1 50


Program Outcomes
PO-1Comprehends both theoretical and applied subjects in international trade at the advanced level, and uses his/her knowledge when necessary.
PO-2Analyses basic concepts and data related to International Trade and Economics by scientific methods, interprets those with analytically, and evaluates those with regard to economic issues.
PO-3Express his/her thoughts, comments and evaluations related to International Trade discipline both in written and oral forms.
PO-4Defines current problems, and proposes solutions which are supported by evidence and research based quantitative and qualitative data.
PO-5Inspects how public and private sector enterprises engaged in trade activities operates in practice, and evaluates the continuities and the dynamism in these sectors.
PO-6Defines and tracks local, regional (such as European Union or Middle East) and global issues from the point of political economics, and relates these issues to each other.
PO-7Possesses sufficient knowledge in other disciplines related to International Trade (such as Economics, Finance, International Business and Law), and reports this information.
PO-8Follows publications and research in International Trade, Globalisation and Financial Systems in the English language, and communicates with his/her colleagues internationally.
PO-9Uses a second language (Russian, Chinese, etc.) at the intermediate level.
PO-10Possesses ethical principles and scientific values in collection, interpretation and release of data.
Learning Outcomes
LO-1To analyze relationships in economic data.
LO-2Ability to express the concepts of statistics.
LO-3Ability to apply data analysis by using Excel.
LO-4Students will be able to use statistical tools in their research.
LO-5Will be able to express probability theories.
Course Assessment Matrix:
Program Outcomes - Learning Outcomes Matrix
 PO 1PO 2PO 3PO 4PO 5PO 6PO 7PO 8PO 9PO 10
LO 1
LO 2
LO 3
LO 4
LO 5