One of the most important responsibilities of managers in businesses is to make decisions. Today's competitive conditions require that optimal decisions be supported by numerical methods. The aim of this course is to gain the knowledge and skills to formulate a problem encountered in decision making, to establish the mathematical model, to obtain the solution from the model, to check and evaluate the model and its solution, to apply the obtained solution.
Prerequisite(s)
Corequisite(s)
Special Requisite(s)
Instructor(s)
Course Assistant(s)
Schedule
Office Hour(s)
Teaching Methods and Techniques
Principle Sources
Other Sources
Course Schedules
Week
Contents
Learning Methods
1. Week
Components of decision making, decision making without probabilities
Distant Learning
2. Week
Maximin,minimax, hurwicz criterion
Distant Learning
3. Week
Decision making with probabilities, expected value
Distant Learning
4. Week
Decision trees
Distant Learning
5. Week
Sequential decision tree analysis
Distant Learning
6. Week
Decision trees with posterior probabilities
Distant Learning
7. Week
Game theory
Distant Learning
8. Week
Mid Term
9. Week
Mid Term
10. Week
Markov analysis,states and state probabilities
Distant Learning
11. Week
Matrix of transition probabilities, predicting future market shares
OP-1. Comprehends both theoretical and applied subjects in international trade at the advanced level, and uses his/her knowledge when necessary.
PO-2
OP-2. Analyses basic concepts and data related to International Trade and Economics by scientific methods, interprets those with analytically, and evaluates those with regard to economic issues.
PO-3
OP-3. Express his/her thoughts, comments and evaluations related to International Trade discipline both in written and oral forms.
PO-4
OP-4. Defines current problems, and proposes solutions which are supported by evidence and research based quantitative and qualitative data.
PO-5
OP-5. Inspects how public and private sector enterprises engaged in trade activities operates in practice, and evaluates the continuities and the dynamism in these sectors.
PO-6
OP-6. Defines and tracks local, regional (such as European Union or Middle East) and global issues from the point of political economics, and relates these issues to each other.
PO-7
OP-7. Possesses sufficient knowledge in other disciplines related to International Trade (such as Economics, Finance, International Business and Law), and reports this information.
PO-8
OP-8. Follows publications and research in International Trade, Globalisation and Financial Systems in the English language, and communicates with his/her colleagues internationally.
PO-9
OP-9. Uses a second language (Russian, Chinese, etc.) at the intermediate level.
PO-10
OP-10. Possesses ethical principles and scientific values in collection, interpretation and release of data.
Learning Outcomes
LO-1
To produce solutions to business problems using decision making techniques
LO-2
To gain economic data evaluation structure with analytical thinking structure
LO-3
To learn modeling and estimation by analyzing relations in economic data.
LO-4
To formulate a problem, to establish the mathematical model, to obtain the solution from the model, to check and evaluate the model and its solution, to gain the knowledge and ability to apply the obtained solution.
LO-5
To understand today's competitive conditions require that optimal decisions be supported by numerical methods.
