Graduate
Institute of Graduate Studies
Engineering Management English(Thesis)
Anlık RSS Bilgilendirmesi İçin Tıklayınız.Düzenli bilgilendirme E-Postaları almak için listemize kaydolabilirsiniz.


Decision Theory

Course CodeSemester Course Name LE/RC/LA Course Type Language of Instruction ECTS
IEM0202 Decision Theory 3/0/0 DE English 9
Course Goals
 To learn the tools and techniques for analyzing complex business situations to make scientific decisions 
Prerequisite(s) -
Corequisite(s) -
Special Requisite(s) Attendance is mandatory; students who have attended less than 60% of classes will receive zero points from the term project regardless of their exam grades. Each student is expected to actively participate in classroom discussions and exercises.
Instructor(s) Assist. Prof. Dr. Duygun Fatih Demirel
Course Assistant(s)
Schedule Thursday, 13:00-15:45
Office Hour(s) Tuesday, 11:00-11:45, Office 2-A-10
Teaching Methods and Techniques -Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
Principle Sources * R.T. Clemen and T. Reilly, Making Hard Decisions with DecisionTools, 2nd edition, Duxbury. * H.A. Taha, Operations Research: An Introduction, 10th edition, Prentice Hall. * W.L. Winston, Operations Research: Applications and Algorithms, 4th edition, Cengage Learning * M. Peterson, An Introduction to Decision Theory. Cambridge University Press.  
Other Sources -
Course Schedules
Week Contents Learning Methods
1. Week Introduction to Decision Theory, Decision Making under Certainty, Introduction to MCDM Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
2. Week AHP Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
3. Week TOPSIS Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
4. Week Goal Programming Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
5. Week Fuzzy AHP Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
6. Week Fuzzy TOPSIS Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
7. Week Ramadan Festival (Holiday) -
8. Week Midterm Exam -
9. Week MOORA Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
10. Week Decision Making under Uncertainty, Decision Making under Risk, Introduction to Decision Trees Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
11. Week Decision Trees: Cumulative Risk Profiles, Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
12. Week Decision Trees: Multiobjective Problems in Decision Trees Analysis Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
13. Week Decision Trees: One-Way Sensitivity Analysis, Two-Way Sensitivity Analysis Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
14. Week Project Presentations Lecture, question-answer, discussion
15. Week Project Presentations Lecture, question-answer, discussion
16. Week Final -
17. Week Final -
Assessments
Evaluation tools Quantity Weight(%)
Midterm(s) 1 35
Quizzes 3 5
Project(s) 1 15
Final Exam 1 45


Program Outcomes
PO-1Knowledge about management processes and management skills
PO-2Knowledge and application skills related to the methods and competencies required for solving engineering problems
PO-3Knowledge about developing areas of manufacturing and service sectors
PO-4Ability to work in multi-disciplinary engineering teams
PO-5Experience and knowledge of scientific research and publishing within the frame of academic ethics
Learning Outcomes
LO-1Knows the elements of the decision problem, and can make decisions according to different criteria by creating a decision tree.
LO-2Distinguishes between prior and posterior probabilities, calculate posterior probabilities in decisions where sample information exists and decide whether sample information is required.
LO-3Has general knowledge about multi-criteria decision-making methods, and applies AHP, TOPSIS, Goal Programming, and MOORA techniques to real-life problems.
LO-4Makes use of fuzzy set theory when necessary to solve multi-criteria decision-making problems.
LO-5Knows the usage of sensitivity analysis and applies it properly.
Course Assessment Matrix:
Program Outcomes - Learning Outcomes Matrix
 PO 1PO 2PO 3PO 4PO 5
LO 1
LO 2
LO 3
LO 4
LO 5