Graduate
Institute of Graduate Studies
Project Management (PHD)
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Decision Making Methods

Course CodeSemester Course Name LE/RC/LA Course Type Language of Instruction ECTS
İMPYD3034 Decision Making Methods 3/0/0 DE Turkish 9
Course Goals
To learn the tools and techniques for analyzing complex business situations to make scientific decisions
 
Prerequisite(s) None
Corequisite(s) None
Special Requisite(s) None
Instructor(s) ProfessorHeyecan GİRİTLİ
Course Assistant(s) None
Schedule Tuesday 10:00-12:45 4C-12/14
Office Hour(s) After the course session in te course class.
Teaching Methods and Techniques -Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
Principle Sources -Winston, W., , Operations Research, 4th edition, Chapters 13
-Hillier and Lieberman, Introduction to Operations Research, 8th edition, Chapter 15
Other Sources -None
Course Schedules
Week Contents Learning Methods
1. Week Introduction to Decision Making Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
2. Week Decision Trees Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
3. Week Decision Trees Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
4. Week Value of Information Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
5. Week Decision Making with Experimental Information: Prior, Conditional, Unconditional and Posterior Event Probabilities Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
6. Week Decision Making with Experimental Information Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
7. Week Decision Making with Experimental Information Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
8. Week Midterm Exam
9. Week Introduction to Utility Theory Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
10. Week Introduction to Utility Theory Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
11. Week Certainty Equivalent and Assessing a Decision-Makers Utility function Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
12. Week Multiattribute Utility Theory Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
13. Week Multiattribute Utility Theory Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
14. Week Analytical Hiearcy Process Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
15. Week Analytical Hiearcy Process (AHP) Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
16. Week Review Lecture, question-answer, discussion, problem solving
17. Week Final Exam
Assessments
Evaluation tools Quantity Weight(%)


Program Outcomes
PO-1- Develop and deepen the current and advanced knowledge in the field with original thought and/or research and come up with innovative definitions based on Master's degree qualifications.
PO-2Conceive the interdisciplinary interaction which the field is related with ; come up with original solutions by using knowledge requiring proficiency on analysis, synthesis and assessment of new and complex ideas.
PO-3Evaluate and use new information within the field in a systematic approach.
PO-4Develop an innovative knowledge, method, design and/or practice or adapt an already known knowledge, method, design and/or practice to another field; research, conceive, design, adapt and implement an original subject.
PO-5Critical analysis, synthesis and evaluation of new and complex ideas.
PO-6Gain advanced level skills in the use of research methods in the field of study.
PO-7Contribute the progression in the field by producing an innovative idea, skill, design and/or practice or by adapting an already known idea, skill, design, and/or practice to a different field independently.
PO-8Broaden the borders of the knowledge in the field by producing or interpreting an original work or publishing at least one scientific paper in the field in national and/or international refereed journals.
PO-9Demonstrate leadership in contexts requiring innovative and interdisciplinary problem solving.
PO-10Develop new ideas and methods in the field by using high level mental processes such as creative and critical thinking, problem solving and decision making.
PO-11Investigate and improve social connections and their conducting norms and manage the actions to change them when necessary.
PO-12Defend original views when exchanging ideas in the field with professionals and communicate effectively by showing competence in the field.
PO-13Ability to communicate and discuss orally, in written and visually with peers by using a foreign language at least at a level of European Language Portfolio C1 General Level.
PO-14Contribute to the transition of the community to an information society and its sustainability process by introducing scientific, technological, social or cultural improvements.
PO-15Demonstrate functional interaction by using strategic decision making processes in solving problems encountered in the field.
PO-16Contribute to the solution finding process regarding social, scientific, cultural and ethical problems in the field and support the development of these values.
Learning Outcomes
LO-1Distinguishes between action and event nodes and draws a decision tree representing a complex situation
LO-2Solves a decision tree by using various decision-making criteria including expected monetary value (EMV), maximin, minimax, etc., and articulates the optimal course of action found
LO-3Compherends the concepts of certainty equivalent (CE), risk premium (RP), and EMV; Calculates CE, RP, and EMV of related decisions in a given decision-making problem
LO-4Comprehends the value of information, calculates expected value of perfect information (EVPI) and uses it to decide whether to seek further information in a given decision-making situation
LO-5Distinguishes between prior and posterior probabilities; calculates posterior probabilities in a given decision-making decisions with experimentation and decides whether experimental information is needed
Course Assessment Matrix:
Program Outcomes - Learning Outcomes Matrix
 PO 1PO 2PO 3PO 4PO 5PO 6PO 7PO 8PO 9PO 10PO 11PO 12PO 13PO 14PO 15PO 16
LO 1
LO 2
LO 3
LO 4
LO 5